2013年11月21日星期四

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[UPDATED with NRSC response.replica gucci shoes] About a month ago, a Republican National Committee mailer surfaced, showing that the party had sent out a bogus “poll.” The poll asked recipients if they were concerned that Democrats would pass health care reform that would deny Republicans treatment because they were Republicans. This ridiculous and false notion, the mailer said, “has been suggested” by unknown forces. When I called the RNC for comment, a spokesman admitted the shameless ploy had been “inartfully worded.ugg boots outlet” Now comes word, via Sam Stein at Huffington Post, that the National Republican Senatorial Committee is trying to fool Americans with the same trick. Their bogus “poll” asks: Are you concerned that health care rationing could lead to: 23. Denial of treatment in cases where the patient’s prospects are deemed not good? 24. A “lottery” system of determining who will get priority treatment? 25.replica gucci shoes A “quota” system which would determine who would get treatment on the basis of race or age? Needless to say, none of these things have been proposed in either house of Congress. None of them will pass. The mailer also suggests that the following ideas are “up for debate” in Congress over the coming weeks, including whether or not the government gets to: ? Pick who is “eligible” for certain medical procedures? ? Pick your doctor for you? ? Restrict certain medical procedures on the basis of age? ? Put strict price controls on medicine and drugs? ? Penalize you for choosing to see a private doctor ? Seriously undermine private health care insurers who currently serve tens of millions of Americans? In a just, fully functioning Democratic debate, there would be consequences for such fearmongering by a major political party. Texas Sen.loui vuitton John Cornyn, who signs the direct mail piece, would actually be forced to either defend the document, by backing up the claims with actual evidence that these claims are in any way relevant to the current discussion, or he would be discredited as someone willing to fool people–not to mention the elderly–for political advantage. But this is not a fully functioning Democratic system. I have nonetheless, asked the NRSC for comment. I am told I will get a response, which I will post promptly.replica chanel shoes UPDATE: Brian Walsh a spokesman for the NRSC did call me back, and defended the mailer, not as a description of any of the Democratic plans, but rather as an open-ended musing on possible health care reform ideas. “It simply poses questions,” said Walsh. “In looking at it, it doesn’t say definitely what the president’s health care plan is.” Walsh added that no one knows what the final Obama health care legislation might contain.fake louis vuitton shoes “He has not put forward legislative text,” he said. “We have no idea what the Democratic bill is going to look like.” So in other words, Walsh is maintaining that the most alarming parts of the faux poll do not describe anything that Democrats or Obama has proposed, but rather describe things that could still be proposed at some point in the future to surprise everybody. Needless to say, it is rather unlikely–call it completely inconceivable–that Obama or Democratic leaders would introduce an 11th-hour amendment to deny health care to Americans based on race.replica gucci shoes What may be more interesting is the tactic at play. This is another version of a “The Great Unknown” attack on Obama, a technique I have previously described, in which opponents choose to critique Obama not for what he is doing, but for what is unknown about his actions or what he might do. UPDATE 2: Walsh emails to protest that if I am getting in the fact-checking game I ought to be bipartisan (post-partisan?) about it. And I am happy to oblige.replica gucci shoes One canard from Obama that Walsh points to was the president’s claim a few weeks back that his Republican opponents wanted to do “nothing” to deal with health care. Here was what Obama said in Cincinnati, at a Labor Day rally: I’ve got a question for all these folks who say, you know, we’re going to pull the plug on Grandma and this is all about illegal immigrants — you’ve heard all the lies. I’ve got a question for all those folks: ?What are you going to do? (Applause.) ?What’s your answer? ?(Applause.louis vuitton belts) ?What’s your solution? ?(Applause.) ?And you know what? ?They don’t have one. ?(Applause.) ?Their answer is to do nothing.chanel outlet ?Their answer is to do nothing. This is not true. House Republicans, for example, have a short document laying out some principles they would back to reform health care. It can be read here.louis vuitton shoes replica It is not legislation. But it is also not nothing. One other note about this sort of back and forth. Back during the 2008 campaign, I often got angry emails from the camps of Obama and John McCain whenever I wrote a post saying something they were claiming was either false or woefully misleading.replica gucci shoes (I got many angry comments as well.) Often the protests amounted to this: If you are going to point out one guy’s deceptions, why aren’t you pointing out the other guy’s deceptions? And they sometimes had a point. Both sides were being deceptive at times, and my job for TIME does not allow me to be a full-time fact checker, comprehensively scanning the horizon for each fib and every exaggeration. But that said, I also always thought that this fairness argument was also a bit disingenuous, since it suggested that I could be a less biased reporter if I just stopped trying to call out the falsehoods or, worse, that the fact of one guy’s deception justified another guy’s deception.fake chanel shoes This sort of dialogue also, inevitably, led to another critique: If I pointed out that both sides sometimes deceived, I was somehow engaging in false equivalence. (A claim that was, I believe, misapplied last week to the TIME cover story on Glenn Beck; I would like to come back to this later, when I have more time.) It is true that at times, however defined, one party may engage in more misinformation than the other party. And to the extent that one party’s sins are claimed to be forgiven by another party’s sins, this should be pointed out.louis vuitton replica Some sins are also bigger than others, though this subjective call is sometimes difficult to make. But I have yet to be convinced that any of these reasons should stop me from pointing out poisonous misinformation in the political debate, even if I do it by necessity in a scatter shot manner. And so, I would just conclude by saying that Obama’s false statement in Cincinnati does not excuse the NRSC’s deceptive mailer. They are both bad form.louis vuitton belts Furthermore, the claim that I have just falsely drawn equivalence between the two deceptions does not change the original sins. In both cases, the utterances disrespected our public debate, something that happens, alas, with some regularity.
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President Obama lands at a heliport in lower Manhattan.ugg boots outlet The President’s entourage of staff, security and press, a total of six helicopters, landed at the Wall Street Landing Zone prior to the meeting of world leaders at the U.N. General Assembly on Tuesday.
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2013年11月20日星期三

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In his State of the Union address on Tuesday night, President Obama “put colleges and universities on notice.fake louis vuitton” Find a way to stop tuition from going up, he told them, or risk losing federal aid money. Following up on that charge, Obama put forward a proposal on Friday at the University of Michigan that, if passed, would tie federal campus-based aid programs to tuition policies for the first time in history. Under the plan, the Administration would shift aid away from those colleges that fail to keep tuition down in favor of institutions that “do their fair share” to keep tuition affordable. The plan would achieve this by targeting campus-based aid programs??work-study programs, Perkins loans and supplemental grants for low-income students??which accounted for $3 billion of the $142 billion distributed in federal grants and loans annually.louis vuitton backpack for sale The plan proposed increasing that total to $10 billion next year. (MORE: Obama’s State of the Union: An Optimistic President Talks to a Pessimistic Nation) Obama targeted campus-based aid programs, rather than much larger federal aid programs like Pell grants and Stafford loans, because those programs give money to students who can use it at any college, whereas Perkins loans go directly to colleges, where administrators can use the money as they see fit. The plan also outlined a Race to the Top-style competition in which states would compete for $1 billion in prize money, a separate $55 million award for colleges that increase their efficiency, called for a doubling of work-study jobs and materials that will help families determine the true cost of college. The President also called on Congress to extend the interest rate reduction on subsidized Stafford loans as well as the opportunity tax credit, a $2,500 per year tax credit for working families with students who attend college.fake ugg boots (PHOTOS:?Obama??s State of the Union in Pictures) Incentivizing colleges to lower tuition sounds like a great thing on its face. College students are now taking on more debt than ever to compensate for tuition costs that are increasing twice as fast as inflation??even faster than health care costs. But at the same time, state funding for higher ed has just sustained record-high cutbacks. According to the annual Grapevine report from the Center for the Study of Education Policy at Illinois State University, 41 states cut funding for higher education in response to the slow economic recovery and the end of federal stimulus funds last year.louis vuitton backpack for sale Overall, in the past year alone, state funding for higher ed decreased by nearly 8%, or $6 billion. As state money declines, many have said the only way for colleges to compensate is for students to foot more of the bill. But if Obama’s plan were to pass, raising tuition wouldn’t be an option if states wanted to receive part of the $10 billion in proposed federal aid. Some higher ed experts fear the plan would force colleges to trade quality for price.fake chanel shoes In the four years since the 2008 financial crisis, many institutions have made the easy cuts. They’ve consolidated campuses, cut programs with low-enrollment, scaled back administrative costs and increased energy efficiency. The options that remain??trimming financial aid, reducing enrollment, increasing class size, cutting back on the number of classes, using adjunct instructors instead of full-time faculty and postponing maintenance projects??can hurt students. Some are taking these steps anyway.handbags louis vuitton (MORE:?Obama Calls for ??Fairness?? in His Address to ??Stronger?? Union) Maybe institutions are just going to have to get more creative. “Colleges and universities have got to realize this is a long-term problem and we can’t just get all the money from students,” says Joni Finney, professor of higher education at the University of Pennsylvania and the vice president of the non-profit, non-partisan National Center for Public Policy and Higher Education. “Now is the time to think about doing business in unusual ways.” Finney advocates for some lesser-used options for reducing costs, including cutting non-effective programs, using technology more effectively, streamlining curricula so students don’t graduate with more credits than they need (which is common today), upping the number of hours faculty teach, making better use of evenings, weekends and summers, and offering three-year degree programs to well-prepared students.louis vuitton speedy Still, even with changes on campus, Finney agrees with Obama that states must maintain their commitment to higher ed. “States can’t continue to cut,” she says. “They’ve turned to higher ed to make cuts because they knew colleges had another revenue source: tuition, but they can’t continue to rely on that or there will be a tipping point where college enrollment goes down because no one can afford it.” Which is exactly what Obama is trying to avoid.chanel handbags for sale “Higher education is not a luxury,” the President said in his speech at the University of Michigan. “It’s an economic imperative that every family in America should be able to afford.” But as Congress must approve nearly all of the aspects of the President’s plan, the question remains as to whether colleges and universities will be forced to meet his call. Kayla Webley is a Staff Writer at TIME.gucci outlet online Find her on Twitter at @kaylawebley, on Facebook or on Google+. You can also continue the discussion on TIME??s Facebook page and on Twitter at @TIME.
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The two-man race between Mitt Romney, He of the Mandated Health Insurance, and Newt Gingrich, He of the Lunar Janitorial Academy for Kids, has reduced conservative cuticles to nubs.fake gucci shoes Tea Partyers are threatening to stay home in November and the eminent Bill Kristol has not yet given up his dream of finding a White Knight to lance the doubts of Republicans nationwide and ride onto the convention stage in Tampa as a consensus candidate. So is anybody going to come to dissatisfied Republicans’ rescue? Political science professor Josh Putnam (at the indispensable Frontloading HQ) has pored over the filing deadlines and assorted party arcana to determine whether such a scenario is possible. His conclusion: Technically, it is. Realistically, it ain’t: Who is the candidate who can not only successfully enter the race late, but who can also marshal the organization necessary to cobble together enough delegates to take the nomination or throw enough of a monkeywrench into the process and still maintain support in the party to win the nomination at the convention? Let’s think about this for a moment.replica louis vuitton There are people in this race now actively seeking the nomination (and who have been running for president for quite some time) who cannot get on the ballots in some states. And we are expecting someone to come in and immediately be able to beat these deadlines, organize write-in efforts and uncommitted slates of delegates to get within shouting distance of 1144 or a lower total held by the frontrunner. I apologize, folks. But I just don’t see it.ugg boots outlet There is no silver bullet. There is no white knight. So with that put to rest, we can all get back to speculating about a Ron Paul third-party bid.
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Tampa When you throw a party only to show up an hour and 45 minutes late, the least you can do is feed your guests.louis vuitton shoes replica Once he arrived at a cavernous hangar for a rally on the last full day of campaigning before Tuesday’s pivotal Florida primary, Newt Gingrich served up a multicourse red-meat buffet. First up was Michael Reagan, the ex-President’s son, who told the small but exuberant crowd to think of liberals as “termites.” Then came Herman Cain, who declared that “stupid people are ruining this country,” and even managed to slip a few kind words about Gingrich into his self-aggrandizing shtick. Finally, Gingrich took the podium and uncorked a torrent of Tea Party rhetoric that may signal a tactical shift as he surveys the electoral landscape beyond the Sunshine State.louis vuitton belts Gingrich assailed President Obama’s alleged “war on Christianity” and chided him for “bowing” to a Saudi king. He vowed to stand tall against Shari’a law, another familiar conservative bugbear. He promised to issue an Executive Order eliminating Obama’s “czars” within hours of Inauguration. Ditto for opening a U.chanel handbags for saleS. embassy in Jerusalem, a move the past three Presidents have eschewed to avoid stoking regional turmoil. He wants to audit the Federal Reserve. “We’re going to send a message to George Soros, to Goldman Sachs,” he said.fake uggs “I am real change.” (MORE:?Outstumped and Outspent, Newt Gingrich Flounders in Florida) Gingrich is unlikely to get the chance to implement this vision. But he is shaking things up within his schizophrenic campaign. After skipping from message to message in recent days, he has apparently decided his best shot at knocking off Mitt Romney is to embrace Tea Party populism.gucci handbag for sale And so he has reinvented himself as a grassroots gadfly, ready to dog the GOP “all the way to the convention.” The core of this strategy is a renewed effort to highlight the differences between himself and Romney and argue that Romney is too similar to Obama to win the White House. Gingrich has been making this point for a while, but rarely in terms as stark as he has deployed in the past 48 hours. After weeks of tagging his rival as a “Massachusetts moderate,” Gingrich on Sunday debuted a new line that recast Romney as a “pro-abortion, pro??gun control, pro??tax increase” Massachusetts “liberal.ugg boots outlet” (PHOTOS:?Newt Gingrich??s Life in Pictures) “There’s really no difference between Romney and Obama,” he said in Tampa, quoting Soros. As Gingrich began tracing the similarities between the Massachusetts health care system and Obama’s federal bill, he caught sight of a supporter in the first row hoisting a handmade sign. “ObamaCare is RomneyCare,” it read, above a drawing depicting Romney with ghoulish makeup and a slash of red lipstick, ? la the Joker. Gingrich paused to admire the sign.chanel outlet “I did it! I’m an angry voter!” the man yelled. Smiling, Gingrich motioned for him to pass the sign up to the stage, where he and his wife Callista autographed it. “Do not put this on eBay,” he said. This new role as a Tea Party crusader is something of a stretch for Gingrich, a Washington institution who supported TARP and has praised elements of the individual health-insurance mandate that is at the heart of both Romney’s and Obama’s health care overhauls.louis vuitton replica In 1994 he orchestrated the first Republican takeover of the House in four decades by trumpeting the merits of the free market. Now Goldman plays the boogeyman in his closing argument. Only last week, Gingrich was emphasizing his Washington savvy to argue that he was uniquely equipped to drain the swamps of the nation’s capital. Now he is the avenging outsider.replica louis vuitton “That??s why the Establishment of the party is terrified,” he said. “Because we will change things.” Using the Establishment as a foil is a risky move for a man who netted more than $3 million in 2010 from the political gravy train. But Gingrich seems to see it as his best shot at the nomination.gucci outlet online If he’s dealt a sizable setback in Florida, Gingrich will have to claw back into the race against the headwinds of February, a month with just one debate and only a few smaller, scattered state contests (mostly caucuses, in which his haphazard organization will be a liability). Some of those states ?? including Nevada, home of Sharron Angle; and Arizona, governed by Jan Brewer ?? have a Republican electorate with a finely tuned ear for the Tea Party language that Gingrich has adopted as his own. (MORE:?With Gingrich on the Trail in Florida, Romney Surrogates Are Never Far Behind) In Tampa, the members of the relatively small but passionate crowd ate the act up. Behind Gingrich onstage were a cadre of handpicked voters: most elderly, all donning an abundance of Newt flair.gucci outlet online One woman in the front row wore no fewer than six pro-Gingrich pins, along with a campaign sticker plastered on the center of her forehead. Another had an “Annoy a Liberal” pin ?? an homage to Sarah Palin’s recent directive ?? on a hat topped by a stuffed elephant holding an American flag in its trunk. “Newt Gingrich voters are enthusiastic voters,” says Jose Mallea, Gingrich’s Florida director, who believes this “enthusiasm gap” could be good for 5 to 7 points in the polls. That almost certainly wouldn’t be good enough, though.handbags louis vuitton A Suffolk University survey released on Monday showed Romney up by 20 points. Gingrich has proven himself a master at reinventing himself for voters like these, who profess fears about a nation slipping away from them in some undefinable way. “I love my country, and I want it to go back to what I loved about it,” says Barbara McLeod, 68. Her friend Joyce Sweeney, 60, held a sign that read, “Newter the Bamster: Bring on the Debates.louis vuitton speedy” A foreign journalist asked her to explain what the term Bamster meant. “That’s what Rush Limbaugh calls Obama,” she explained. “It’s like a gangster.” Sally Cummings, a retiree from Brooksville, was strolling around the hangar after the rally with a sign of her own.chanel handbags for sale “Tea Party vs. Cocktail Party!” it read, above Gingrich’s name. ??He??s more of a grassroots, common person,” she says. “And Romney is very much the cocktail party.cheap gucci belts He is the elite.” If a man with a 5,000 sq. ft. mansion in McLean, Va.fake louis vuitton
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January 31 is set up to be a big day in the 2012 presidential presidential campaign.louis vuitton handbags for sale Not only will Florida voters go to the polls, possibly sealing the party’s presidential nomination, but most super PACs that have been dominating the airwaves in recent weeks will finally report their donors, revealing for the first time the financial sources for all the attacks. Almost certainly, during all the hoopla of these news events, another big number will be lost in the shuffle. On the day before, the Bureau of Economic Statistics is set to announce at 8:30 a.m.louis vuitton outlet online new figures for U.S. per-capita personal income growth for December of 2011. Who cares? Read on.chanel handbags for sale As I write in this week’s issue of TIME, available to all-access subscribers, presidential elections have a long history of behaving like referendums on the relative strength of the national economy. Bad economies–Jimmy Carter in 1980, George H.W. Bush in 1992–tend to punish the incumbents.louis vuitton speedy Good economies–Richard Nixon in 1972, Ronald Reagan in 1984–tend to reward the incumbents. This is not always the case–think Al Gore in 2000–but the effect is statistically demonstrable. A forthcoming book by political scientists Christopher Wlezian and Robert Erikson, The Timeline of Presidential Elections, reviews the patterns for the last 15 presidential elections and finds that economic fundamentals explain 54% in the difference in election results from cycle to cycle. The political press tends to harp on the unemployment rate as a measure of economic health, but this is problematic.louis vuitton belts The better measure, say those who have run the numbers, is weighted cumulative real income growth on a per capita basis. (Weighted simply means that each quarter closer to an election date counts more than the quarter before.) (MORE: Inside Obama’s World) Which brings us to the January 30 BEA report. It will only be a snapshot, but it is one that matters.louis vuitton neverfull If the economy is going to recover enough to improve Barack Obama’s chances at reelection, it will have to start happening soon. Wlezian and Erikson also found that the economic fundamentals in April of an election year are generally almost as good a predictor of the final vote as the fundamentals in November. So the question is this: As it now stands, just how bad does the economy look for Obama? The answer is pretty bad, by historic standards. Last fall, Douglas Hibbs Jr.louis vuitton replica, ran the numbers and found that through the third quarter of last year, the economic performance under Obama predicted the president would get just 44.1% of the popular vote. That number was by no means set in stone, since there were still several quarter to come before the election, and each quarter would count more than the one that preceded it. But Obama does probably need to see a tangible pickup in economic growth to be comfortable.fake louis vuitton shoes Hibbs estimates that the comfort territory would only come with a year-over-year 4% increase in per capita real income, though a 2% increase would bring the expected incumbent vote on election day up to 48.2%. (PHOTOS:?Political Pictures of the Week) None of these figures are determinative. Hibbs model has successfully predicted each election since 1952 to within 2.gucci handbag for sale5 percentage points, with the exception of two misses: 1996, when Hibbs model predicted a bigger Clinton win, and 2000, when Hibbs model predicted a bigger popular vote win by Al Gore. Political scientists generally agree that campaigns do matter–though they tend to cancel each other out–and that other factors like party identification, ideology and policy also affect the final vote. But the biggest single factor in moving the polls, presidential approval and the vote, in a time of general peace, is almost surely economic performance. And Barack Obama is short on time to put some better numbers on the board.replica louis vuitton
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2013年11月16日星期六

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The Obama campaign just sent out a list of ??Debate Lies,?? a dozen of Mitt Romney??s fudges and falsehoods about his plans and promises.fake ugg boots But they didn??t include his lies about the last four years. For example, Romney claimed that half the firms that received green-energy stimulus money went bust, when less than 1% of those firms failed. But the Obama campaign didn??t mention that, because it doesn??t want to discuss the Obama record. That seems like a real problem.replica chanel shoes I get that elections are about the future, not the past. I get that Obama is reluctant to brag about his accomplishments at a time when many Americans are hurting. I get that Obama has done fine in the polls by focusing on Romney and that ??Stop lying about my record?? didn??t work so well for Bob Dole. And since I wrote a book about the hidden story of change in the Obama era, I get that it’s a bit convenient me to suggest that the President really needs to tell that story.louis vuitton backpack for sale But he??s got to tell some story, because otherwise Romney??s take on the Obama era will be the only one voters hear. In his opening statement, Obama did point out that he inherited a mess ?? although he didn??t explain what a GDP-crashing-at-a-9%-annual-rate, 800,000-job-losses-a-month, depression-level mess it was ?? and he did say that once his Administration reversed the free fall ?? he didn??t explain how ?? more than 5 million private-sector jobs were created. For the next 90 minutes, though, he mostly let Romney define the last four years, while quibbling about some of the details. He rarely explained what he has done.louis vuitton replica I??m not just talking about my beloved stimulus, although Obama didn??t mention that the $800 billion recovery package he passed during his first month in office helped stop the swoon, producing the biggest quarterly jobs improvement in 30 years. He certainly didn??t mention that the stimulus included an unprecedented $90 billion for clean energy, and when Romney did, Obama didn??t explain how it launched a quiet green revolution or correct Romney??s egregious suggestion that thousands of stimulus-funded companies have failed. I can??t even think of a half-dozen. Romney talked about ??losers?? like Solyndra and Ener1; why didn??t Obama respond with winners like Envia Systems, which has developed the world??s most powerful electric-vehicle battery, or Silver Spring, which is building millions of smart meters for a modern electric grid? Romney mocked wind and solar; why not mention that wind has doubled, solar has increased over 600%, and they now combine to power 15 million homes with clean domestic electricity? Granted, the word stimulus remains toxic, and Obama did mention that middle-class tax cuts and Race to the Top education reform were tucked into the stimulus.cheap gucci belts But he barely talked about his now popular rescue of the now booming U.S. auto industry. He didn??t mention that he allowed gays to serve openly in the military or that he stopped deportations of undocumented immigrants who came to the U.louis vuitton outlet onlineS. as children. He somehow ended up in the weeds of Obamacare without explaining that his plan will ensure health insurance for millions of Americans who might otherwise end up in emergency rooms. He somehow ended up sounding apologetic about his far-reaching Wall Street reforms.fake gucci shoes (PHOTOS:?Political Photos of the Week, Sept. 20-27) Obama also barely mentioned that Romney and the Republicans have fought him on every one of these issues ?? against an economic recovery package during an economic emergency, against the auto rescue, against the repeal of “Don’t ask, don’t tell,” against the Dream Act for immigrants without papers through no fault of their own, against universal health insurance, against reforming the financial system after a financial meltdown. He let Romney compare the U.S.fake chanel shoes economy to Spain??s without pointing out that Spain lapsed into a double-dip recession after adopting the kind of austerity policies that Republicans have prescribed for the U.S. He didn??t mention that he pushed the American Jobs Act, which would have cut more taxes, invested in more infrastructure projects and saved more of the teaching jobs Romney said he valued before Republicans blocked it. The point is that things are bad, and Obama can??t just warn that Romney will make them worse, especially now that Romney seems to be reinventing himself yet again as a sensible centrist who won??t cut taxes on the rich and likes all the good stuff in Obama??s health care and Wall Street reforms.replica louis vuitton The President needs to make the case that he??s made things less bad and that with more time he can make things not bad. Obviously, 2012 isn??t 2008, and his campaign can??t be all about change. But change happened. It didn??t make things perfect; it made things better.handbags louis vuitton
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The argument for reelecting President Obama is not obvious, since the economy is bad, but it??s not all that complex either.ugg boots outlet I??d say it??s a five-part argument. And tonight, the president finally made all five parts. The big news from this debate will probably be the searing exchange over Libya, but after I shredded Obama’s no-show last time, I should acknowledge that this time Obama actually presented a case for four more years. Part One is that Obama inherited an ungodly mess, with the economy losing 800,000 a jobs a month and GDP crashing at an 8.fake louis vuitton9% rate. The president talks about this often, but he drove it home in a new way after Governor Romney noted that gas prices were $1.86 when he took office. Obama shot back (correctly) that gas prices were so low because the economy was collapsing.gucci handbag for sale He then suggested that Romney might restore low gas prices by restoring the policies that collapsed the economy, which is actually Part Four; in any case, it was one of his best lines of the night. (MORE: Obama Bounces Back With Strong Showing in Second Debate) Part Two is that Obama made the mess better, moving the economy from dizzying job losses to 5.2 million new jobs, from scary contraction to modest growth. He quickly described how his auto bailout took a vital industry from the brink of death to record profitability, arguing that Romney??s prescription of no government aid could have destroyed a million jobs.fake louis vuitton shoes And he did a decent job of pointing out how his policies have helped people: cutting middle-class taxes by $3600, expanding Pell Grants and child-care tax breaks. I??m biased,? of course, but I would have liked to hear him point out that his $800 billion stimulus saved hundreds of thousands of jobs for teachers and other public employees, kept millions of Americans out of poverty and homelessness, provided tens of billions of dollars worth of tax breaks to manufacturers, and created the biggest quarterly jobs improvement in 30 years. But he doesn??t use the s-word. (PHOTOS:?Political Pictures of the Week, Oct.louis vuitton backpack for sale 5??11) Part Three is that congressional Republicans blocked him from doing even more to clean up the mess. I don??t understand why he doesn??t harp on GOP obstructionism??it??s one of the main reasons the recovery has been so weak, and Americans happen to hate Congress??but he did at least mention it tonight. He talked about how he has tried to extend tax cuts for 98% of the country, but Republicans have refused to go along unless the top 2% keeps their tax cuts. He also mentioned Republican intransigence on immigration.louis vuitton handbags for sale But he still could have done more to point out that Republicans have fought just about every policy he mentioned??from student loan reform to infrastructure investments to the Lilly Ledbetter gender discrimination bill. Romney does a nice job talking about his bipartisan work in Massachusetts; it wouldn??t kill Obama to mention every now and then that the Party of No plotted its obstructionist strategy before he even took office. And for the record: He only had a filibuster-proof Senate supermajority for a few months, after Al Franken was seated and the late Arlen Specter switched parties but before Scott Brown’s election. (MORE: Mark Halperin: Grading the Town Hall Debate) Part Four is that Romney represents a return to the Bush policies that got us into the mess in the first place.handbags louis vuitton Obama hammered this point a lot, focusing primarily on tax cuts for the rich, but he probably could use a bit more show and less tell. He did a good job explaining how Romney??s promises of big specific tax cuts along with unspecified loophole-closing and spending cuts are a prescription for huge deficits, but he could have done a better job of linking them to the Bush destruction of the Clinton surpluses. He could have mentioned that Romney shares the anti-regulatory fervor that helped fuel the Wall Street meltdown??and has promised to repeal Wall Street reform.? He could also mention that Romney has surrounded himself with the same Bush foreign policy advisers that led America into Iraq.fake ugg boots Part Five is that Obama has basically done what he said he would do. And he slammed home this point when the disappointed former Obama voter asked why he deserves another term, listing a slew of promises kept: middle-class tax cuts, small business tax cuts, ending the war in Iraq, decimating al Qaeda and killing bin Laden, reining in insurance companies and expanding affordable insurance, reforming Wall Street, saving the auto industry, and creating 5 million jobs. At other times in the debate he mentioned that he??s enacted ambitious education reforms??he could have mentioned that many conservatives support Race to the Top??and doubled renewable energy. He could have added that he allowed gays to serve in the military and made record investments in research, and he could have done a better job explaining why he??s failed to keep his promise to cut the deficit in half.fake louis vuitton shoes (Or at least remind voters that he inherited a trillion-dollar deficit from Bush.) 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0 minutes.handbags louis vuitton Both men mean business. They are out with smiles, mouthed ??Thank You??s?? and a perfunctory handshake. The American people have been subjected to political debates for more than a year. But this one is bigger than any other.gucci handbag for sale Romney won the first decisively, and pulled ahead in many of the polls. Now, the rematch. 3 minutes. The town hall format means the first question goes to a college kid, who resembles a young Adam Sandler.chanel handbags for sale He asks Romney about what will happen after graduation. Romney runs through the high points of his education record, and the low points of Obama??s economic record, then asks, ??When do you graduate??? The Sandler-like kid says, ??2014.?? ??When you come out in 2014, I presume I’m going to be president. I’m going to make sure you get a job,?? says Romney.louis vuitton belts That??s good news for the kid. 5 minutes. Obama takes the question and pivots to what he never did in the first debate: Demonstrating that he wants the job of president for a second term. He even steals Romney??s move to do it, the Powerpoint list: Number one, number two, etc.ugg boots outlet Number one mentions Romney wanting Detroit to go bankrupt. That??s how it goes. 8 minutes. Romney clarifies that his desire to let Detroit go bankrupt was not as menacing as Obama makes it sound.loui vuitton ??The president took Detroit bankrupt. You took General Motors bankrupt. You took Chrysler bankrupt. So when you say that I wanted to take the auto industry bankrupt, you actually did,?? Romney says.fake louis vuitton shoes He is right. The difference between the candidates is at what point in the process the government should have intervened, not whether bankruptcy was the proper course. 10 minutes. But this is the new Obama, the Obama on offense.chanel outlet So he doesn??t take that. ??What Governor Romney said just isn’t true,?? Obama says. ??He wanted to take them into bankruptcy without providing them any way to stay open. And we would have lost a million jobs.louis vuitton replica?? The question being raised here is whether Romney still would have resisted government bailouts if it became clear, as Obama suggests, that the companies would have folded otherwise. But this is a presidential debate. So we don??t get there. Instead, Obama says of Romney, ??He has a one-point plan.louis vuitton replica And that plan is to make sure that folks at the top play by a different set of rules.?? 11 minutes. Obama gets a question about gas prices. He lists off his various energy planks.fake louis vuitton Then attacks Romney. ??Governor Romney will say he’s got an all-of-the-above plan, but basically his plan is to let the oil companies write the energy policies,?? he says. This allows Romney to lay into Obama??s energy record. ??What we don’t need is to have the president keeping us from taking advantage of oil, coal and gas.handbags louis vuitton This has not been Mr. Oil, or Mr. Gas, or Mr. Coal,?? he says of Mr.handbags louis vuitton Obama. Romney also hits Obama for a decline in permits for new federal drilling. 17 minutes. ??Very little of what Governor Romney just said is true,?? Obama says smiling.handbags louis vuitton Here follows a squabble between the two men about just what Obama has done with federal drilling leases. At points, the two men are almost shouting over each other, looking at each other, just a few feet away. It??s full contact debate. The truth is that the drop in federal leases began under President George W.cheap gucci belts Bush, and continued after the moratorium in response to the gulf oil spill. But at moments like these, the theater overwhelms the facts. And what is clear is the change that has taken place in two weeks. In Denver, Obama was willing to defer.fake louis vuitton shoes In New York, he has come to rumble. The President starts to eat into Romney??s time. 22 minutes. Romney starts appealing to moderator Candy Crowley of CNN for more time.cheap gucci belts ??Candy, Candy,?? he says. Then Obama tries to interrupt. Crowley regains control. Next question.loui vuitton 23 minutes. It??s about taxes. What loopholes in the tax code is Romney planning to eliminate? The mortgage interest deduction? The charitable giving credit? Romney says he would just set a ceiling on how much people can deduct. “One way of doing that would be say everybody gets — I’ll pick a number — $25,000 of deductions and credits, and you can decide which ones to use,” Romney says.replica louis vuitton He doesn’t say he is fixed on that number, which means voters won’t be able to calculate before they vote whether their individual taxes will go up or down under a Romney plan. Romney also says he will get rid of taxes on dividends, interest and capital gains for middle class people, which would be good for the middle class people who have extra money to invest. 27 minutes. Obama says that his tax plan is focused on cutting taxes for the middle class, while Romney is worried more about the rich.ugg boots outlet “That’s exactly the kind of top-down economics that is not going to work if we want a strong middle class and an economy that’s striving for everybody,” Obama says. ??I??m not looking to cut taxes for wealthy people. I am looking to cut taxes for middle-income people,?? Romney responds. ??Settled??? asks Crowley.replica chanel shoes 31 minutes. ??No, it’s not settled.?? Obama criticizes Romney for not explaining how he’d simultaneously cut taxes, lower the deficit and increase military spending. The words come out fast and precise.replica louis vuitton Someone switched Obama’s Benadryl for Adderall. ??If somebody came to you, Governor, with a plan that said, here, I want to spend $7 or $8 trillion, and then we??re going to pay for it, but we can??t tell you until maybe after the election how we??re going to do it, you wouldn??t take such a sketchy deal and neither should you, the American people, because the math doesn??t add up,?? he says. 35 minutes. ??Well of course they add up,?? Romney responds.louis vuitton backpack for sale ??I ran the Olympics and balanced the budget?? as a governor. He got help from the federal government to do both those things, but never mind. ??When we??re talking about math that doesn??t add up, how about $4 trillion of deficits over the last four years??? 37 minutes. New topic: What is each candidate doing to close the pay gap between men and women.fake chanel shoes It’s kind of a gimmee for Obama, who launches into his stump speech: Raised by a single working mom; grandmother got passed over for promotions at her bank job; first bill he signed in office made it easier for women to file equal pay suits. Romney tells a nice story too. When he first became governor of Massachusetts, all the recommended cabinet members were men, so he sent his team out to find ??whole binders full of women?? to hire. This didn’t really happen.cheap gucci belts Someone else compiled the list of women before Romney won office. But the binders were real. Next, Obama says a Romney presidency would be bad for women. 45 minutes.louis vuitton handbags for sale A tough one for Romney about how his policies would differ from George W. Bush’s. Romney thanks the questioner and then argues with Crowley about whether he was supposed to get a rebuttal to Obama’s last point. He wins enough time to say ??the president??s statement of my policy is completely and totally wrong,?? then answers the Bush question.louis vuitton backpack for sale Romney would be tougher on China’s trade practices and better about deficits. ??President Bush and I are different people and these are different times,?? Romney says. Fact check: True. Obama says Romney is more conservative than Bush on social issues and can’t be trusted on China because he invested in companies there.louis vuitton belts 51 minutes. A former Obama supporter asks what the President has done to deserve a second term. This is Obama’s big shot to defend his record, something he totally whiffed on last time around. Out comes the PowerPoint: taxes cut, Iraq exited, bin Laden killed.loui vuitton Obama explains health care reform in plain terms: ??Insurance companies can??t jerk you around.” When he runs out of bullet points, he just lights into Romney some more. ??I think you know better,?? Romney responds, embarking on a misery tour of economic data from the last four years, some of it true. He says Obama predicted 5.replica gucci shoes4% unemployment by now??he didn’t, it was economists working for Obama’s transition team in 2008 before the depths of the recession were apparent??and blames the President for rising health care costs that were increasing before he took office. Obama tries to object, but we’re moving on to the next question. 59 minutes. ??This is for Governor Romney??? Obama asks.louis vuitton replica ??It??s for Governor Romney,?? says Crowley. ??Is it Loraina??? Romney asks the questioner. ??Lorraine.?? ??Lorraine??? ??Yes, Lorraine.louis vuitton outlet online?? ??Lorraine,?? repeats Romney. ??How you doing??? Lorraine asks. This isn’t her question. She wants to know what Romney would do about undocumented immigrants living in the U.louis vuitton shoes replicaS. ??Thank you,?? Romney says. ??Lorraine? Did I get that right??? He did. Romney likes legal immigration–”this is a nation of immigrants,?? he says–but he does not like illegal immigration and the President is to blame because he failed to pass comprehensive reform when Democrats controlled Congress.louis vuitton belts Now it’s Obama’s turn. ??Lorranna,?? he begins. ??Lorraine. We are a nation of immigrants.louis vuitton neverfull?? Obama says that he too loves immigration but Romney held up reform by calling a controversial Arizona law a ??model for the nation.?? In reality, Romney was only referring to one largely uncontroversial part of the law. Not democracy’s finest moment. 66 minutes.cheap gucci belts Romney remembers his rebuttal to that thing Obama said about Chinese investments 20 minutes ago and confronts the president at center stage. Romney’s money is in a blind trust and Obama’s pension invests in overseas companies too. ??Mr. President, have you looked at your pension??? Romney says.louis vuitton neverfull ??It??s not as big as yours so it doesn??t take as long,?? Obama fires back. ??We??re way off topic here,?? says Crowley. 70 minutes. A guy named Kerry Ladka says his buddies at a telecom supply company in Mineola were all talking about Libya the other day and wanted to know whether the Obama Administration denied additional security to the consulate in Benghazi where Ambassador Chris Stevens was killed on Sept.louis vuitton replica 11. The back story seems highly implausible, but at least neither candidate tries to say his name. Obama says he responded to the attack responsibly while Romney politicized it, which doesn’t really answer the question. But it’s a powerful exchange.gucci handbag for sale ??This calls into question the president??s whole policy in the Middle East,?? Romney says. ??The day after the attack, governor, I stood in the Rose Garden and I told the American people in the world that we are going to find out exactly what happened. That this was an act of terror and I also said that we??re going to hunt down those who committed this crime,?? Obama says. ??And then a few days later, I was there greeting the caskets coming into Andrews Air Force Base and grieving with the families.fake chanel shoes And the suggestion that anybody in my team, whether the Secretary of State, our U.N. Ambassador, anybody on my team would play politics or mislead when we??ve lost four of our own, governor, is offensive.?? 76 minutes.replica chanel shoes Romney thinks that he has caught the President telling a whopper. ??You said in the Rose Garden the day after the attack, it was an act of terror??? he says, grinning. ??I want to make sure we get that for the record.?? ??Get the transcript,?? Obama deadpans.replica gucci shoes Crowley back him up: ??He did in fact, sir.?? Romney looks like a guy whose steak dinner has sprouted legs and crawled off his plate. 77 minutes. The debate has pretty much entered stoppage time.louis vuitton backpack for sale ??What has your administration done or planned to do to limit the availability of assault weapons??? asks one voter. ??We??re a nation that believes in the Second Amendment, and I believe in the Second Amendment,?? Obama begins. He and Romney go on at some length, but neither has proposed new gun laws. The NRA guys watching at home pour themselves another scotch.louis vuitton belts 85 minutes. A question about outsourcing, scourge of the undecided voter. Obama and Romney have already used most of their economic talking points and China trade barbs so they both just cycle back through the list. Obama wants more education.fake chanel shoes Romney wants business-friendly taxes. 94 minutes. We’re well into overtime and Crowley brings our attention to the audience for the final question of the night. ??I think this is a tough question,?? the voter begins before lobbing a mushy softball up onto the stage.fake chanel shoes ??What do you believe is the biggest misperception that the American people have about you as a man and a candidate??? Romney goes first and explains, ??I care about our kids,?? and ??I believe in God.?? He also says that Obama’s efforts to paint him as out of touch aren’t fair. ??I care about 100 percent of the American people. I want 100 percent of the American people to have a bright and prosperous future.fake ugg boots?? Perceptive. Obama ignores the question entirely and goes after Romney on this exact front. ??I believe Governor Romney is a good man. Loves his family, cares about his faith.gucci outlet online But I also believe that when he said behind closed doors that 47 percent of the country considered themselves victims who refuse personal responsibility, think about who he was talking about. Folks on Social Security who??ve worked all their lives. Veterans who??ve sacrificed for this country.?? He keeps going.louis vuitton shoes replica Romney never gets a chance to respond. Only one more debate. We”ll see you Monday night.
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In the first ever town hall-style debate between Bill Clinton and George H.chanel outletW. Bush, a single visual cue changed history: Bush looked down at his watch while an audience member asked a question, which is about as taboo as having pizza delivered on stage. So as my colleagues listened to Barack Obama and Mitt Romney‘s town hall debate Tuesday night, I pushed the mute button once again and prepared to determine a champion based on pantomime alone. Both candidates were all smiles as they entered.ugg boots outlet In a reversal from their first meeting, Obama wore the fighter’s red tie this time. Romney wore the placid blue, slightly askew. The President gave someone a playful little finger wave, the kind you employ when you??re greeting an adorable toddler or saying ??too-da-loo.?? (One hopes this was directed at his wife Michelle, or perhaps an undecided toddler in the audience.louis vuitton handbags for sale) Both candidates took to their stools with equally casual one-foot-up perches as moderator Candy Crowley turned the proceedings over to the voters in the hall–the most poker-faced group of people this side of Johnny Chan. (PHOTOS:?Political Pictures of the Week, Oct. 5??11) As in the first debate, the candidates diverged in the size of their gestures. Romney was an aircraft marshal, all arm sweeps and emphatic push-downs; Obama was much more contained, his movements smaller and softer.louis vuitton handbags for sale This dynamic had favored Romney when they were behind lecterns. Not so in the town hall. Where Obama had looked tired, he now seemed calm and composed. Where Romney had seemed energetic, he now looked over-the-top and a little condescending, like he was trying to teach kids how to play slow-pitch softball.loui vuitton From the outset, Romney directly addressed Obama. And this time, Obama gave Romney the business, too. He interrupted his opponent; he shook his head and smirked during Romney??s responses, rather than staring at his notes like they were Magic Eye illusions. Obama more often addressed the broader audience.louis vuitton outlet online He confidently ambled toward Crowley as she introduced the questioners. He smiled. He laughed. At one point, I??m pretty sure he even winked at someone.louis vuitton backpack for sale That outrageous flirt almost made me think he was not having a terrible time. Of course, the best parts were the intermittent showdowns. Early on Obama responded to what I can only assume was a rhetorical question from Romney. A back-and-forth ensued, and Romney gave up his microphone first.ugg boots outlet The next time, Romney took on Obama and the President retreated to his chair. Meanwhile, both of them kept pointing at ??that crazy guy with his crazy ideas?? while they explained their positions to voters. Crowley repeatedly got in the middle of things, sometimes sending the candidates to their seats like chided boys. At one point they both looked at her and, in close proximity, pointed at one another in perfect “he did it” synchronicity; if there??s a photo of that, it??ll be one for the front pages.handbags louis vuitton While Romney was talking, I was occasionally distracted by Obama’s eye flutters. Was it windy in there? Is he secretly battling glaucoma? For his sake, I certainly hope he’s not allergic to uncommitted voters. As the evening went on, I noticed Romney’s blink-rate betraying a sense of nervousness, too. For the next round of debate prep, I’d recommend a good chunk of time devoted to power-staring for both candidates, ideally at photographs of each other looking very serious.louis vuitton neverfull This time there were no closing arguments. The final town hall questioner got his answers and the debate ended. Obama immediately turned to a voter and shook his hand, while Romney greeted his wife Ann. As the stream of Romney sons came forward to surround their father, Obama amassed a group of undecided voters around him.fake ugg boots In silence at least, the second presidential debate seemed a feisty one, and the President looked like the winner.
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2013年11月13日星期三

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Friday night at a “spaghetti dinner” in Tilton, New Hampshire, a no-nonsense woman named Lisa Smith Brunelle, who is a single mother of four kids either in college or recently graduated, asked Mitt Romney whether he had any ideas for reducing the 8% interest rate they are paying on their college loans.louis vuitton speedy Romney said one idea would be to increase the money available to write off college costs in exchange for joining the National Guard. ??My son considered that,?? Ms. Brunelle told me later, saying he’d looked at the Marines in particular. But he decided against enlisting because his cousin went to Afghanistan to pay for college, and a year ago Thursday he stepped on an IED, losing a leg, Ms.cheap gucci belts Brunelle said. With Gov. Mitt Romney surging in South Carolina, and leading by 23 points in New Hampshire ahead of next Tuesday’s primary here, it may take a series of gaffes by the candidate for any of his GOP opponents to catch him. They don??t have much to hope for in that respect.louis vuitton outlet online Romney built his lead in part on the strength of his largely mistake-free performances in the Republican debates of the last six months. And between campaign stops this past week, Romney has been preparing with his staff for the debates tonight and tomorrow. But now and then you catch a glimpse of gaffability in Romney. About once during an appearance, his normally rigid discipline gives way to a kind of goofy spontaneity, which in turn can produce a potentially damaging misstep.louis vuitton belts Usually the errors are harmless, and even when they aren??t, he??s quick-witted and self-aware enough to find his way out. The biggest problem for Romney is that his blind spots tend to be for sensitive subjects, ones with potential resonance for an economically struggling and war-weary electorate. Which means an uncaught gaffe could be very costly indeed. The first category where Romney tends to get into trouble is money, in particular, his.replica louis vuitton (Remember the $10,000 bet?) At an event Wednesday evening in Peterborough, New Hampshire, for example, Romney, whose net worth is in the neighborhood of $200 million, went into an apparently unplanned but lengthy discussion of whom he wanted to leave his money to. Previously, he said, he??d told his estate lawyer he just wanted to leave it all to his sons, not his grandkids. But now, he said, he wants to leave it all to his grandkids, not his sons. If the story was supposed to make a point??the estate tax is bad, maybe??Romney realized he was in trouble and pulled the plug before he made that argument.replica louis vuitton Just the fact, though, that he spent what seemed like an eternity talking about the disposition of his multi-million dollar estate must have set off his strategists?? alarm bells. The second area where Romney gets into trouble is lack of empathy. He??s plenty sympathetic to the woes of those who attend his events. But where he seems acutely aware, even excited, about businesses or market dynamics–no doubt a good thing at a time when Americans are desperate for renewed prosperity–he can seem out of touch with the concerns of middle class Americans.louis vuitton speedy And sometimes the contrast jumps out. Romney seemed ??a little shocked by the amount we??re paying,?? Ms. Brunelle later said of his response to the interest rate part of her question, bringing to mind George H. W.louis vuitton handbags for sale Bush??s costly lack of familiarity with the price of a gallon of milk during a debate with Bill Clinton and Ross Perot in 1992. And coming from a man who was born wealthy and received a deferment from the draft, Romney’s cheerful suggestion that Ms. Brunelle’s kids consider joining the military to pay for college might have fallen flat even without knowing the sad coincidence of her nephew. Most of the time mistakes like these cause no damage.louis vuitton handbags for sale Romney??s estate tax misstep was quickly forgotten in an otherwise successful post-Iowa celebration in Peterborough. Ms. Brunelle, whose nephew is recovering well, she says, has no hard feelings for Romney about either the interest rate or the National Guard suggestion, and plans to vote for Romney in both the New Hampshire primary and the November election. But if his increasingly hard-pressed opponents want to try and take Romney down in coming debates, their best hope may not be attacking him frontally but rather getting him to talk about his money or other people’s problems.fake uggs
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2013年11月7日星期四

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